Feb 3, 2011

Nifty Analysis for 4thFeb

Nifty Weekly will be in buy mode above 5755.
Nifty Daily  will be in buy mode above 5566.
Till then we are in downtrend.
Trend reversal process is @ very begining -> Look for short trades -> Ignore long call unless we start trading above 5600
Today 5498-5518 is zone to watch , if we start trading below -> more downside is to come.


Other activities indicate bullish view 
Bullish View => Nifty Open Interest for February stands at 2,18,87,250 down by 1,72,150 with increase in price (Short Covering)
Bullish View => Unwinding seen in 5200CE,5300CE,5400CE,5500CE
Bullish View => Small % of addition in 5500PE,5600PE,5700PE

Trade Level  for 4thFeb2011
-----------------------------------------------------------------
BUY  @5460-5475-5502-5521-5545-5576-5615
SELL @5403-5388-5362-5342-5318-5287-5248




VOLUME PROFILE
----------------------------------------------------------------
5427-5436-(5454-5473)-(5498-5518)-5525-5600-(5630-5640)-5680-5725-5745-5763-5772-5785-5798-5810-5821 
MAXIMUM VOLUME PARTICIPATION IS SEEN AT THESE LEVEL FOR NIFTY.
THESE LEVEL CAN PLAY THE ROLE OF IMPORTANT SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE.


Important EMA 
-------------------------------------------------------------------
5ema   5505
13ema  5599
21ema  5674
34ema  5753
55ema  5814
89ema  5822
144ema 5751
233ema 5588


Market profile 
--------------------------------------------------------------------
VAH - 5544, POC - 5514, VAL - 5482


Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
--------------------------------------
5501.82


PREVIOUS MONTH NIFTY EXPIRY
----------------------------------------------------------------------
30-Dec-10--6101.85--41.50--0.68%
27-Jan-11--5604.30--83.10--(-1.46%)


MOVING AVERAGE PRICE CHANNEL(http://pricechannelsystem.blogspot.com/)
---------------------------------------------------------------------
We will initiated long position if nifty manage to close above 5695.




J10 TRADING SYSTEM(http://perfecttradingsystem.blogspot.com)
------------------------------------------------------------
We will initiated long position if nifty manage to close above 5550.




VOLATILITY BREAKOUT METHOD(http://perfectbreakout.blogspot.com)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
4thFeb2011  NIFTY : MIN 5465  MAX 5588 RANGE 51




Daily and weekly level 
--------------------------------------------------
NIFTY WEEKLY =>ABOVE  5755(BUY)
NIFTY DAILY  =>ABOVE  5566(BUY) 




Open Interest Study
-------------------------------------------------
As of now ,
Strong Support   @5400 
Strong Resistane @5700

Feb 2, 2011

Nifty Analysis for 3Feb2011

Nifty Weekly will be in buy mode above 5738.
Nifty Daily  will be in buy mode above 5574.
Till then we are in downtrend.
Other activities suggests mild bearishness like ............
Short Covering =>       Nifty Open Interest for February stands at 2,20,59,400 down by 2,37,150 with increase in price. (Bullish)
Bullish(mild)  =>          very small % of unwinding seen in 5600PE,5800PE.
Bearish(mild)  =>         Small % of call witing seen in 5300CE,5400CE,5500CE 

I dont have clear picture which side market will take turn. Weekly as well as daily is in downtrend.Oi Study suggest down move and strong support @5400 and resistance @5500.There are two possibilities 
1. Range bound market between 5400 to 5500
2. Breakout of 5400 (trend continuation ) / Breakout of 5500 (trend Reversal)


Open Interest data @ this point of time suggest  Range bound market between 5400 to 5500 /Breakout of 5400 (trend continuation ).


Lets see 2morrow............nifty movement should confirm.

Trade Level  for 3rdFeb2011
-----------------------------------------------------------------
BUY  @5503-5521-5553-5576-5605-5643-5690
SELL @5434-5416-5384-5361-5332-5294-5247


VOLUME PROFILE
----------------------------------------------------------------
5427-5436-(5454-5473)-5487-(5506-5513)-5600-(5630-5640)-5680-5725-5745-5763-5772-5785-5798-5810-5821 
MAXIMUM VOLUME PARTICIPATION IS SEEN AT THESE LEVEL FOR NIFTY.
THESE LEVEL CAN PLAY THE ROLE OF IMPORTANT SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE.






Important EMA 
-------------------------------------------------------------------
5ema   5495
13ema  5612
21ema  5689
34ema  5767
55ema  5824
89ema  5829
144ema 5755
233ema 5589


Market profile 
--------------------------------------------------------------------
VAH - 5494, POC - 5472, VAL - 5450


Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
--------------------------------------
5472.06


PREVIOUS MONTH NIFTY EXPIRY
----------------------------------------------------------------------
30-Dec-10--6101.85--41.50--0.68%
27-Jan-11--5604.30--83.10--(-1.46%)


MOVING AVERAGE PRICE CHANNEL(http://pricechannelsystem.blogspot.com/)
---------------------------------------------------------------------
We will initiated long position if nifty manage to close above 5712.


J10 TRADING SYSTEM(http://perfecttradingsystem.blogspot.com)
------------------------------------------------------------
We will initiated long position if nifty manage to close above 5574.


VOLATILITY BREAKOUT METHOD(http://perfectbreakout.blogspot.com)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
3rdFeb2011  NIFTY : MIN 5383 MAX 5480 RANGE 48


Daily and weekly level 
--------------------------------------------------
NIFTY WEEKLY =>ABOVE  5738(BUY)
NIFTY DAILY  =>ABOVE  5574(BUY) 


Open Interest Study
-------------------------------------------------
As of now ,
Strong Support   @5400 
Strong Resistane @5500

Feb 1, 2011

Nifty Analysis 2ndFeb2011

Nifty Weekly will be in buy mode above 5735.
Nifty Daily  will be in buy mode above 5606.
Till then we are in downtrend.


Other activities suggests bearishness like ............
Short Build UP =>  Nifty Open Interest for February stands at 2,22,96,550 up by 18,41,300 with decrease in price. 
Bearish =>         small % of unwinding seen in 5600PE,5700PE,5800PE.
Bearish =>         large % of call witing seen in 5300CE,5400CE,5500CE 


Positive Divergence is seen in nifty weekly chart(@ the bottom of blog).We may see some bounce today.
Then we will head downward if Open Interest study remain same.5300/5320 is coming soon.Lets see........nifty movement should confirm.



Trade Level  for 2ndFeb2011
-----------------------------------------------------------------
BUY  @5539-5557-5590-5613-5642-5680-5728
SELL @5470-5452-5419-5396-5367-5329-5281


VOLUME PROFILE
----------------------------------------------------------------
5415-(5454-5473)-5487-(5506-5513)-5600-(5630-5640)-5680-5725-5745-5763-5772-5785-5798-5810-5821 
MAXIMUM VOLUME PARTICIPATION IS SEEN AT THESE LEVEL FOR NIFTY.
THESE LEVEL CAN PLAY THE ROLE OF IMPORTANT SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE.




Important EMA 
-------------------------------------------------------------------
5ema   5527
13ema  5642
21ema  5715
34ema  5787
55ema  5839
89ema  5838
144ema 5759
233ema 5590


Market profile 
--------------------------------------------------------------------
VAH - 5488, POC - 5458, VAL - 5428


Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
--------------------------------------
5456.40


PREVIOUS MONTH NIFTY EXPIRY
----------------------------------------------------------------------
30-Dec-10--6101.85--41.50--0.68%
27-Jan-11--5604.30--83.10--(-1.46%)


MOVING AVERAGE PRICE CHANNEL(http://pricechannelsystem.blogspot.com/)
---------------------------------------------------------------------
We will initiated long position if nifty manage to close above 5730.


J10 TRADING SYSTEM(http://perfecttradingsystem.blogspot.com)
------------------------------------------------------------
We will initiated long position if nifty manage to close above 5606.


VOLATILITY BREAKOUT METHOD(http://perfectbreakout.blogspot.com)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
2ndFeb2011  NIFTY : MIN 5371  MAX 5462 RANGE 45


Daily and weekly level 
--------------------------------------------------
NIFTY WEEKLY =>ABOVE  5735BUY)
NIFTY DAILY  =>ABOVE  5606(BUY) 


Open Interest Study
-------------------------------------------------
As of now ,
Strong Support   @5400 
Strong Resistane @5800

Jan 31, 2011

Nifty Analysis for 1stFeb2011

Nifty Weekly will be in buy mode above 5752.
Nifty Daily  will be in buy mode above 5648.
Till then we are in downtrend.


Other activities suggests bearishness like ............
Short Build UP =>  Nifty futures OI stands 20455250 up by 28000 ,with decrease in price. 
Bearish =>         small % of unwinding seen in 5600PE,5700PE,5800PE.
Bearish =>         large % of call witing seen in 5300CE,5400CE,5500CE 
If scenerio is not changed we are heading towards more downwards in nifty. Lets see 2morrow.


Trade Level  for 1stFeb2011
-----------------------------------------------------------------
BUY  @5490-5510-5546-5571-5604-5645-5698
SELL @5413-5393-5357-5332-5299-5258-5205




VOLUME PROFILE
----------------------------------------------------------------
(5454-5473)-5487-(5506-5513)-5600-(5630-5640)-5680-5725-5745-5763-5772-5785-5798-5810-5821 
MAXIMUM VOLUME PARTICIPATION IS SEEN AT THESE LEVEL FOR NIFTY.
THESE LEVEL CAN PLAY THE ROLE OF IMPORTANT SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE.





Important EMA 
-------------------------------------------------------------------
5ema   5582
13ema  5679
21ema  5745
34ema  5809
55ema  5855
89ema  5847
144ema 5764
233ema 5592


Market profile 
--------------------------------------------------------------------
VAH - 5526, POC - 5498, VAL - 5470


Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
--------------------------------------
5486.53


PREVIOUS MONTH NIFTY EXPIRY
----------------------------------------------------------------------
30-Dec-10--6101.85--41.50--0.68%
27-Jan-11--5604.30--83.10--(-1.46%)


MOVING AVERAGE PRICE CHANNEL(http://pricechannelsystem.blogspot.com/)
---------------------------------------------------------------------
We will initiated long position if nifty manage to close above 5748.


J10 TRADING SYSTEM(http://perfecttradingsystem.blogspot.com)
------------------------------------------------------------
We will initiated long position if nifty manage to close above 5648.


VOLATILITY BREAKOUT METHOD(http://perfectbreakout.blogspot.com)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
1stFeb2011  NIFTY : MIN 5454  MAX 5557 RANGE 51


Daily and weekly level 
--------------------------------------------------
NIFTY WEEKLY =>ABOVE  5752BUY)
NIFTY DAILY  =>ABOVE  5648(BUY) 




Open Interest Study
-------------------------------------------------
As of now ,
Strong Support   @5400 
Strong Resistane @5800

Jan 30, 2011

Nifty Analysis for 31stJan2011

ONLY A CLOSE ABOVE 5803 WILL BRING WEEKLY IN BUY MODE
ONLY A CLOSE ABOVE 5679 WILL BRING DAILY  IN BUY MODE
OTHERWISE HIGH RISK TO REWARD TRADE LIES IN SHORTING NIFTY.
OPTION DATA SUGGESTS THAT MARKET IS INCLINED IN FAVOR OF BEAR.
THIS OPINION WILL CHANGE IF NIFTY MANAGE TO CLOSE ABOVE 5587. 

Trade Level  for 31st Jan2011
-----------------------------------------------------------------
BUY  @5643-5663-5700-5727-5760-5803-5857
SELL @5564-5544-5507-5480-5447-5404-5350


VOLUME PROFILE
----------------------------------------------------------------
(5493-5514)-5600-(5630-5640)-5680-5725-5745-5763-5772-5785-5798-5810-5821 
MAXIMUM VOLUME PARTICIPATION IS SEEN AT THESE LEVEL FOR NIFTY.
THESE LEVEL CAN PLAY THE ROLE OF IMPORTANT SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE.


Important EMA 
-------------------------------------------------------------------
5ema   5620
13ema  5708
21ema  5769
34ema  5828
55ema  5868
89ema  5855
144ema 5767
233ema 5592


Market profile 
--------------------------------------------------------------------
VAH - 5594, POC - 5548, VAL - 5506


PREVIOUS MONTH NIFTY EXPIRY
----------------------------------------------------------------------
30-Dec-10--6101.85--41.50--0.68%
27-Jan-11--5604.30--83.10--(-1.46%)


MOVING AVERAGE PRICE CHANNEL(http://pricechannelsystem.blogspot.com/)
---------------------------------------------------------------------
We will initiated long position if nifty manage to close above 5775.


J10 TRADING SYSTEM(http://perfecttradingsystem.blogspot.com)
------------------------------------------------------------
We will initiated long position if nifty manage to close above 5679.


VOLATILITY BREAKOUT METHOD(http://perfectbreakout.blogspot.com)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
31st Jan NIFTY : MIN 5460  MAX 5563 RANGE 52


Daily and weekly level 
--------------------------------------------------
NIFTY WEEKLY =>ABOVE  5806BUY)
NIFTY DAILY  =>ABOVE  5679(BUY) 


Open Interest Study
-------------------------------------------------
As of now ,
Strong Support   @5400 
Strong Resistane @5800