Aug 6, 2011

Nifty Weekend Analysis-7thAugust2011









FUNDAMENTAL TRUTHS OF TRADING


Read it every day...................
Mark Douglas, a person I consider one of the pioneers of trading psychology talks about these 5 Fundamental Truths to trading along with 7 Principles of consistency in his book Trading In The Zone (A book ever trader should own). I think it’s really important to understand all of these truths and principles and believe them if you want to be consistent in your trading.

THE 5 FUNDAMENTAL TRUTHS OF TRADING:

1. Anything can happen.
2. You don’t need to know what is going to happen next to make money.
3. There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of
variables that define an edge.
4. An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing
happening over another.
5. Every moment in the market is unique.

THE 7 PRINCIPLES OF CONSISTENCY:

1. I objectively identify my edges.
2. I predefine the risk of every trade.
3. I completely accept the risk or I am willing to let go of the trade.
4. I act on my edges without reservation or hesitation.
5. I pay myself as the market makes money available to me.
6. I continually monitor my susceptibility for making errors.
7. I understand the absolute necessity of these principles of consistent success
and, therefore, I never violate them.

Trade Setup -Learning




















Aug 4, 2011

5280-5300 is on card -Nifty Analysis for 5thAugust2011


Nifty Conservative Trading 
--------------------------------
Nifty Monthly  Long above 5705(HEMA)  and 5368 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE  5509)
Nifty Weekly   Long above 5628(HEMA)  and 5426 (LEMA)   (TREND UP ABOVE  5481)
Nifty Daily    Long above 5480(HEMA)  and 5404 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE  5424)
Nifty Hourly   Long above 5381(HEMA)  and 5352 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE   5361)


Nifty  JNSAR
---------------------------------------
Nifty Weekly JNSAR  5555  -stay short
Nifty Daily  JNSAR  5496  -stay short
Nifty Hourly JNSAR  5399  -stay short 


Nifty Havala Level
-----------------------------------------------
30-Jun-11   5487


Nifty Aggressive  Trading
---------------------------------
Range 56  min 5390 max 5290
STOP LOSS 10 points only.


Support and Resistance
--------------------
5225-5296-5350-5393-(5433-5460)-5490-5502-5532-5539-5550-5580-5606-5616-5630-5658-5667-5729-5754-5775-5865-(5940-5965)-6090-6175-6250-(6325-6350)


Open Interest 
-----------------------
Support    5300
Resistance 5500


Trade Conclusion
--------------------------------
Nifty will find immediate resistance at 5350-5393-5402-5430-5460
Support lies 5225-5296 level.
If market fails to rise above  5350-5393 level ,we are deeply bearish.=> T1 5393 T2 5300 (T1 already achieved)
Above 5460 bullish vies prevails  . Initial target will 5490-5502





Aug 3, 2011

Below 5379 look for 5300-Nifty Analysis 4thAugust2011


Nifty Conservative Trading 
--------------------------------
Nifty Monthly  Long above 5705(HEMA)  and 5386 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE  5533)
Nifty Weekly   Long above 5628(HEMA)  and 5445 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE  5506)
Nifty Daily    Long above 5503(HEMA)  and 5444 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE  5470)
Nifty Hourly   Long above 5418(HEMA)  and 5397 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE   5407)


Nifty  JNSAR
---------------------------------------
Nifty Weekly JNSAR  5557  -stay short
Nifty Daily  JNSAR  5521  -stay short
Nifty Hourly JNSAR  5414  -stay short 


Nifty Havala Level
-----------------------------------------------
30-Jun-11   5487


Nifty Aggressive  Trading
---------------------------------
Range 56  min 5350 max 5460
STOP LOSS 10 points only.


Support and Resistance
--------------------
5225-5350-5393-5450-5490-5502-5532-5539-5550-5580-5606-5616-5630-5658-5667-5729-5754-5775-5865-(5940-5965)-6090-6175-6250-(6325-6350)


Open Interest 
-----------------------
Support    5300/5400
Resistance 5500/5600


Trade Conclusion
--------------------------------
Nifty will find immediate resistance at 5433-5460
Support lies 5350-5370 level.
If market fails to rise above  5460 level ,we are deeply bearish.=> T1 5393 T2 300 (T1 already achieved)
Above 5460 bullish vies prevails  . Initial target will 5490-5502
Below 5460-5516-5565  -> short the market  , T1 5393 T2 300 (T1 already achieved)
Above 5460 -> go long the market ,Target  5502





Note : We are introducing trading journal section to track our trade  and to learn from our mistake.
Sample Screen shot to view current holding position will be printed on main page.






Aug 2, 2011

Nifty 5460 is Critical Level -3rd August 2011


 Nifty Conservative Trading 
--------------------------------
Nifty Monthly  Long above 5705(HEMA)  and 5404 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE  5550)
Nifty Weekly   Long above 5628(HEMA)  and 5463 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE  5523)
Nifty Daily    Long above 5543(HEMA)  and 5476 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE  5502)
Nifty Hourly   Long above 5467(HEMA)  and 5448 (LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE   5457)


Nifty  JNSAR
---------------------------------------
Nifty Weekly JNSAR  5552  -stay short
Nifty Daily  JNSAR  5567  -stay short
Nifty Hourly JNSAR  5473  -stay long


Nifty Havala Level
-----------------------------------------------
30-Jun-11   5487


Nifty Aggressive  Trading
---------------------------------
Range 56  min 5400 max 5600
STOP LOSS 10 points only.


Support and Resistance
--------------------
5225-5350-5393-5450-5490-5502-5532-5539-5550-5580-5606-5616-5630-5658-5667-5729-5754-5775-5865-(5940-5965)-6090-6175-6250-(6325-6350)


Open Interest 
-----------------------
Support    5400
Resistance 5600


Trade Conclusion
--------------------------------
Nifty will find immediate resistance at 5491-5502-5550
Support lies 5393-5350 level.


If market fails to rise above  5460 level ,we are deeply bearish.=> T1 5393 T2 5350 
Above 5565 bullish vies pervails.


Below 5460-5516-5565  -> short the market  ,Target 5195
Above 5460 -> go long the market ,Target  5690





Fundamental Truths to trading


Mark Douglas, one of the pioneers of trading psychology talks about these 5 Fundamental Truths to trading along with 7 Principles of consistency in his book Trading In The Zone . I think it’s really important to understand all of these truths and principles and believe them if you want to be consistent in your trading.


THE 5 FUNDAMENTAL TRUTHS OF TRADING:
1. Anything can happen.
2. You don’t need to know what is going to happen next to make money.
3. There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of
variables that define an edge.
4. An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing
happening over another.
5. Every moment in the market is unique.


THE 7 PRINCIPLES OF CONSISTENCY:
1. I objectively identify my edges.
2. I predefine the risk of every trade.
3. I completely accept the risk or I am willing to let go of the trade.
4. I act on my edges without reservation or hesitation.
5. I pay myself as the market makes money available to me.
6. I continually monitor my susceptibility for making errors.
7. I understand the absolute necessity of these principles of consistent success
and, therefore, I never violate them.

Aug 1, 2011

Nifty Analysis for 2ndAugust2011


Nifty Conservative Trading 
--------------------------------
Nifty Monthly  Long above 5705(HEMA)  and 5422 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE  5571)
Nifty Weekly   Long above 5628(HEMA)  and 5481 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE  5543)
Nifty Daily    Long above 5566(HEMA)  and 5498 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE  5525)
Nifty Hourly   Long above 5521(HEMA)  and  5504 (LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE  5411)


Nifty  JNSAR
---------------------------------------
Nifty Weekly JNSAR  5562  -stay short
Nifty Daily  JNSAR  5567  -stay short
Nifty Hourly JNSAR  5510  -stay long


Nifty Havala Level
-----------------------------------------------
30-Jun-11   5487


Nifty Aggressive  Trading
---------------------------------
Range 56  min 5460 max 5572
STOP LOSS 10 points only.


Support and Resistance
--------------------
5225-5350-5450-5490-5502-5532-5539-5550-5580-5606-5616-5630-5658-5667-5729-5754-5775-5865-(5940-5965)-6090-6175-6250-(6325-6350)


Open Interest 
-----------------------
Support    5400
Resistance 5600




Trade Conclusion
--------------------------------
Nifty will find immediate resistance at 5539-5550.
Support lies 5450-5490-5502 level.


If market fails to break 5460 level ,we are not deeply bearish.
Above 5565 bullish vies pervails.


Below 5516-5565  -> short the market  ,Target 5195
Above 5565 -> go long the market ,Target  5690





Jul 31, 2011

Nifty Analysis for 1stAugust2011


Nifty Conservative Trading 
--------------------------------
Nifty Monthly  Long above 5781(HEMA)  and 5390 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE  5597)
Nifty Weekly   Long above 5665(HEMA)  and 5478 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE  5556)
Nifty Daily    Long above 5572(HEMA)  and 5503 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE  5530)
Nifty Hourly   Long above 5500(HEMA) and  5475 (LEMA)  (TREND UP ABOVE  5487)




Nifty  JNSAR
---------------------------------------
Nifty Weekly JNSAR  5595  -stay short
Nifty Daily  JNSAR  5560  -stay short
Nifty Hourly JNSAR  5556  -stay short 


Nifty Havala Level
-----------------------------------------------
30-Jun-11   5487


Nifty Aggressive  Trading
---------------------------------
Range 56  min 5425 max 5538
STOP LOSS 10 points only.


Support and Resistance
--------------------
5225-5350-5450-5490-5502-5532-5539-5550-5580-5606-5616-5630-5658-5667-5729-5754-5775-5865-(5940-5965)-6090-6175-6250-(6325-6350)


Open Interest 
-----------------------
Support    5400
Resistance 5600


Trade Conclusion
--------------------------------
Below 5516-5654  -> short the market  ,Target 5195
Above 5654 -> go long the market ,Target  5690