Sep 24, 2011

Nifty Analysis And Bank Nifty Analysis For 26Sep2011


Indicator 
-----------------------------
Nifty Monthly  Oversold (Bearish below 5222)
Nifty Weekly   Bearish  (Bearish below 5000)
Nifty Daily    Bearish  (Bearish below 4900)
Nifty Hourly     Bearish  (Bearish below 4886)  


Trend Indicator
--------------------------------
Nifty Monthly Long above 5526(HEMA) and 5054(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5244)
Nifty Weekly  Long above 5166(HEMA) and 4888(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5000)
Nifty Daily   Long above 5046(HEMA) and 4943(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 4981)
Nifty Hourly  Long above 4913(HEMA) and 4869(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 4886)


JNSAR
---------------------------------------
Nifty Weekly JNSAR 5043 -stay short
Nifty Daily  JNSAR 5046 -stay short
Nifty Hourly JNSAR 4906 -stay short


Nifty Havala Level
-----------------------------------------------
4840 (August Closing)


Nifty Aggressive Trading
---------------------------------
Range 85  max 4953  min 4782
STOP LOSS 15-20 points only.


Support and Resistance
--------------------
4680-4784-4810-4865-4951-(5006-5011)-5057-5114-5182-5225-5296-5350-5393-(5433-5460)-5490-5502-5532-5539-5550-5580-5606-5616-5630-5658-5667-5729-5754-5775-5865-(5940-5965)-6090-6175-6250-(6325-6350)


Open Interest 
-----------------------
Support    4700/4800
Resistance 5100/5200


Trade Conclusion
--------------------------------
Only above 5000, maintain long position .........
Nifty may face  resistance at 4935-4950-5010
Nifty may face  support    at 4718 -4821


Below 4800 => Extremely bearish 


Pullback can happen around these levels. Aggresive long can be taken with strict stoploss.explained in Fib Chart


Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism and it should always be there.
Part booking help you to manage risk.


Hope that helps .Take care .Have a happy trading.
Bank Nifty Analysis on http://tradeinbankonly.blogspot.com












Sep 23, 2011

Nifty Weekend Analysis-24Sep2011


1.Nifty Immediate trend is down until 5000 is protected.
2.Upward movement will face resistance 4950 /5040 level.
3.Weekly indicator is about to give bearish reversal=> further downside will lead extremely bearish scenario.
4.Weekly SAR -5145
5.Bollinger band -until 5300 is protected , overall trend remain down.
6.volume chart- 4930-4945/5040 will provide stiff resistance for upward movement.
8.EMA -we are trading below all critical ema .

















Sep 22, 2011

Nifty Analysis And Bank Nifty Analysis For 23rdSep2011


Indicator 
-----------------------------
Nifty Monthly  Oversold -Bearish (until 5350)
Nifty Weekly   Bullish (bearish below 4900)
Nifty Daily    Bearish


Trend Indicator
--------------------------------
Nifty Monthly Long above 5526(HEMA) and 5081(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5244)
Nifty Weekly  Long above 5166(HEMA) and 4923(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5014)
Nifty Daily   Long above 5104(HEMA) and 5037(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5041)
Nifty Hourly  Long above 5020(HEMA) and 4986(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 4992)


JNSAR
---------------------------------------
Nifty Weekly JNSAR 5047 -stay short
Nifty Daily  JNSAR 5060 -stay long
Nifty Hourly JNSAR 5063 -stay long


Nifty Havala Level
-----------------------------------------------
4840 (August Closing)


Nifty Aggressive Trading
---------------------------------
Range 91  max 4832  min 5014
STOP LOSS 15-20 points only.


Support and Resistance
--------------------
4680-4784-4810-4865-4951-(5006-5011)-5057-5114-5182-5225-5296-5350-5393-(5433-5460)-5490-5502-5532-5539-5550-5580-5606-5616-5630-5658-5667-5729-5754-5775-5865-(5940-5965)-6090-6175-6250-(6325-6350)


Open Interest 
-----------------------
Support    4700/4800
Resistance 5100/5200


Trade Conclusion
--------------------------------
Only above 5045-5060, maintain long position .........
Nifty may face  resistance at 4932-4957 /5011


Below 4910 /4890 => Extremely bearish 
Pullback can happen around these levels. Add short on pullback.


Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism and it should always be there.
Part booking help you to manage risk.


Hope that helps .Take care .Have a happy trading.
Bank Nifty Analysis on http://tradeinbankonly.blogspot.com


 











Sep 21, 2011

Nifty Analysis And Bank Nifty Analysis For 22ndSep2011


Indicator 
-----------------------------
Nifty Monthly  Oversold -Bearish (until 5350)
Nifty Weekly   Bullish
Nifty Daily    Bullish 


Trend Indicator
--------------------------------
Nifty Monthly Long above 5526(HEMA) and 5081(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5310)
Nifty Weekly  Long above 5166(HEMA) and 4951(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5080)
Nifty Daily   Long above 5126(HEMA) and 5045(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5094)
Nifty Hourly  Long above 5141(HEMA) and 5096(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5129)


JNSAR
---------------------------------------
Nifty Weekly JNSAR 5081 -stay long
Nifty Daily  JNSAR 5033 -stay long
Nifty Hourly JNSAR 5127 -stay long


Nifty Havala Level
-----------------------------------------------
4840 (August Closing)


Nifty Aggressive Trading
---------------------------------
Range 72  max 5061  min 5205
STOP LOSS 15 points only.


Support and Resistance
--------------------
4680-4784-4810-4865-4951-(5006-5011)-5057-5114-5182-5225-5296-5350-5393-(5433-5460)-5490-5502-5532-5539-5550-5580-5606-5616-5630-5658-5667-5729-5754-5775-5865-(5940-5965)-6090-6175-6250-(6325-6350)


Open Interest 
-----------------------
Support    4900/5000
Resistance 5200/5300


Trade Conclusion
--------------------------------
Above 5075, maintain long position .........
Elliot Wave and Fibonacci Suggesting , we may travel to 5200/5350. (Valid above 5075)
Nifty may face  resistance at 5175-5210 /5325-5350


If Nifty closes above 5180 Buy 5300CE (Current Expiry)
Below 4910 /4890 => Extremely bearish 


Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism and it should always be there.
Hope that helps .Take care .Have a happy trading.
Bank Nifty Analysis on http://tradeinbankonly.blogspot.com











Sep 20, 2011

Nifty Analysis And Bank Nifty Analysis For 21stSep2011


Indicator 
-----------------------------
Nifty Monthly  Oversold -Bearish (until 5350)
Nifty Weekly   Bullish
Nifty Daily    Bullish 


Trend Indicator
--------------------------------
Nifty Monthly Long above 5526(HEMA) and 5081(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5312)
Nifty Weekly  Long above 5160(HEMA) and 4951(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5083)
Nifty Daily   Long above 5105(HEMA) and 5013(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5075)
Nifty Hourly  Long above 5120(HEMA) and 5096(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5113)


JNSAR
---------------------------------------
Nifty Weekly JNSAR 5053 -stay long
Nifty Daily  JNSAR 5033 -stay long
Nifty Hourly JNSAR 5077 -stay long


Nifty Havala Level
-----------------------------------------------
4840 (August Closing)


Nifty Aggressive Trading
---------------------------------
Range 72  max 5067  min 5212
STOP LOSS 15 points only.


Support and Resistance
--------------------
4680-4784-4810-4865-4951-(5006-5011)-5057-5114-5182-5225-5296-5350-5393-(5433-5460)-5490-5502-5532-5539-5550-5580-5606-5616-5630-5658-5667-5729-5754-5775-5865-(5940-5965)-6090-6175-6250-(6325-6350)


Open Interest 
-----------------------
Support    4900/5000
Resistance 5200/5300


Trade Conclusion
--------------------------------
Above 5075, maintain long position .........
Elliot Wave and Fibonacci Suggesting , we may travel to 5200/5350. (Valid above 5075)
Nifty may face  resistance at 5175-5210 /5325-5350


If Nifty closes above 5180 Buy 5300CE (Current Expiry)


Below 4910 /4890 => Extremely bearish 


Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism and it should always be there.
Hope that helps .Take care .Have a happy trading.
Bank Nifty Analysis on http://tradeinbankonly.blogspot.com














Sep 19, 2011

Nifty Analysis And Bank Nifty Analysis For 20thSep2011


Indicator 
-----------------------------
Nifty Monthly  Oversold -Bearish
Nifty Weekly   Bullish
Nifty Daily    Bullish (About to turn bearish)


Trend Indicator
--------------------------------
Nifty Monthly Long above 5526(HEMA) and 5081(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5276)
Nifty Weekly  Long above 5131(HEMA) and 4951(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5047)
Nifty Daily   Long above 5081(HEMA) and 5001(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5042)
Nifty Hourly  Long above 5049(HEMA) and 5029(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5039)


JNSAR
---------------------------------------
Nifty Weekly JNSAR 5049 -stay short
Nifty Daily  JNSAR 5022 -stay long
Nifty Hourly JNSAR 5056 -stay short


Nifty Havala Level
-----------------------------------------------
4840 (August Closing)


Nifty Aggressive Trading
---------------------------------
Range 64  max 5096  min 4967
STOP LOSS 10 points only.


Support and Resistance
--------------------
4680-4784-4810-4865-4951-(5006-5011)-5057-5114-5182-5225-5296-5350-5393-(5433-5460)-5490-5502-5532-5539-5550-5580-5606-5616-5630-5658-5667-5729-5754-5775-5865-(5940-5965)-6090-6175-6250-(6325-6350)


Open Interest 
-----------------------
Support    4900/5000
Resistance 5100/5200


Trade Conclusion
--------------------------------
Above 5060, maintain long position .........
Elliot Wave and Fibonacci Suggesting , we may travel to 5200/5350. (Valid above 5060)
Nifty may face  resistance at 5175-5210 /5325-5350


Below 4910 /4890 => Extremely bearish 


Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism and it should always be there.
Hope that helps .Take care .Have a happy trading.
Bank Nifty Analysis on http://tradeinbankonly.blogspot.com











Sep 18, 2011

Nifty Analysis And Bank Nifty Analysis For 19th Sep2011


Indicator 
-----------------------------
Nifty Monthly  Oversold -Bearish
Nifty Weekly   Bullish
Nifty Daily    Bullish (Below 5060 Bearish)


Trend Indicator
--------------------------------
Nifty Monthly Long above 5526(HEMA) and 5081(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5294)
Nifty Weekly  Long above 5164(HEMA) and 4917(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5054)
Nifty Daily   Long above 5090(HEMA) and 4992(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5047)
Nifty Hourly  Long above 5114(HEMA) and 5079(LEMA) (TREND UP ABOVE 5094)


JNSAR
---------------------------------------
Nifty Weekly JNSAR 5081 -stay short
Nifty Daily  JNSAR 5020 -stay long
Nifty Hourly JNSAR 5090 -stay short


Nifty Havala Level
-----------------------------------------------
4840 (August Closing)


Nifty Aggressive Trading
---------------------------------
Range 64  max 5148  min 5019
STOP LOSS 10 points only.


Support and Resistance
--------------------
4680-4784-4810-4865-4951-(5006-5011)-5057-5114-5182-5225-5296-5350-5393-(5433-5460)-5490-5502-5532-5539-5550-5580-5606-5616-5630-5658-5667-5729-5754-5775-5865-(5940-5965)-6090-6175-6250-(6325-6350)


Open Interest 
-----------------------
Support    4900/5000
Resistance 5100/5200


Trade Conclusion
--------------------------------
Above 5060, maintain long position .........
Elliot Wave and Fibonacci Suggesting , we may travel to 5200/5350. (Stoploss 5040/5060)
Nifty may face  resistance at 5175-5210 /5325-5350


Below 4910 /4890 => Extremely bearish 


Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism and it should always be there.
Hope that helps .Take care .Have a happy trading.
Bank Nifty Analysis on http://tradeinbankonly.blogspot.com












Fibonacci Revision

1.Minor retracement 0.382 or less is indication of strength and it point of leg go along with the trend.
2.If retracement exceeds 0.786 is an indication of change in trend .
3.Fibonacci is predictive and not lagging.
4.Fibonacci adapts to volatility and exists in all time frame.
5.Symmetry move- predicts where market may likely to go.Similarity or equality when comparing swings in the same direction. Also called a “measured move.”
6.161.8 should coincide with critical support and resiatance zone (Go against the trend with strict stop loss)
7.If market break through the structure ,123.6  is tagrget (70%)
8.If market break the structure 123.6 ,161.8  is tagrget (50%) -always trade with minimum position 
9.Two things happen at 123.6 -Consildation and reversal./consolidate and continuation 
10. Take action only if one of the below is  available at Fib Ratio
a.Resistance and support
b.pivot 
c.Symmetry
d.trendline
11.When RSI rebounds from overbought and oversold region ,it will not touch the same height (at least not immediately.)-slingshot trade
12.At 123.6 /161.8 look for area of confluence of ratio for possibly going against the trend.-Confluence trade
13.Enter a counter trade in death zone ,Buy on dip between 0.50  and Golden Ratio (0.618) stoploss(0.786) -Pullback trade
14. A corrective pattern than can appear after either a bull or bear trend.
Completion of the pattern generally signals resumption of the trend. Also known as an
ABC correction or a Gartley pattern (an ABC correction with very specific Fibonacci
ratios). Called “two-step” because it has two swings against the prevailing trend.-Two-step pattern


Two step pattern